• Campaign Finance and Trade Protection in Brazil: Evaluating the Impact of Money on Anti-dumping Measures and Tariffs Exceptions, with Gustavo Araújo

  • Can the level of campaign finance increase the chance of a firm obtaining government favor in terms of trade protection in the post electoral period? In attempting to answer this question, we are dealing with two distinct literature perspectives: one that seeks to understand the effects of campaign finance on public policy; and the other that attempts to explain the domestic factors of trade protection. In both fields, scholars are far from reaching a consensus, especially in comparative politics. For that reason, in this paper we attempt to contribute to the current debate, by evaluating if the pattern of a firm's campaign contributions – to the Federal Executive, Representatives, Senators, and political parties – will play a role in the success or not of its demands upon the Federal Government to implement anti-dumping measures or make modifications to exemptions in the Common External Tariff (CET) of Mercosur. To avoid common problems found in the literature, such as omitted variables and selection bias, we employ a regression discontinuity design.